Maccabi Haifa 1-0 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.87
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.97
6+ Goals
12%
18.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.97 — our 26% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.89
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
17%
5.45
X/2
11%
5.23
X/X
11%
4.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
31.0
2/2
14%
3.67
2/X
7%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 40%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.40/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.08
-25% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 77%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
7.0 Crosses 13.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Haifa
1-0
AWAY Gent
0.51 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
299 Passes 390
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 51
9 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Haifa vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Haifa edged past Gent 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maccabi Haifa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Haifa had 43% of the ball to Gent's 57%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.51 to 1.72 — on chances, Gent could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Maccabi Haifa vs Gent?

Maccabi Haifa 1-0 Gent in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Haifa vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Haifa 42%, draw 24%, Gent 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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