Olympiakos 1-0 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.65
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.25
X/2
8%
7.33
X/X
14%
4.45
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.67
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 9.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
1-0
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.61 xG 0.34
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
368 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos nicked a narrow win over Ferencvaros 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Olympiakos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Olympiakos had 57% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 43%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.61 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Olympiakos's control.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Ferencvaros?

Olympiakos 1-0 Ferencvaros in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 40%, draw 30%, Ferencvaros 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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