Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.75
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
4.6
X/2
13%
7.25
X/X
14%
4.72
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
9%
5.22
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · X/1 at 4.6 — our 21% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.74 xG 1.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
280 Passes 274
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 HT 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1-2
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.18 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
345 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise edged past Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Eintracht Frankfurt at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 53% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 47%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.18 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 47%, draw 26%, Union Saint-Gilloise 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✗ BTTS No
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