Bodo / Glimt 1-2 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.74
Over 2.5
55%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.56
2-3 Goals
42%
2.14
4-5 Goals
25%
2.5
6+ Goals
11%
5.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.89
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
12%
5.53
X/2
11%
6.83
X/X
11%
6.23
2/1
7%
21.4
2/2
16%
3.86
2/X
7%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
33%
+12.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
67%
-12.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.8pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo / Glimt EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
36.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.8 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodo / Glimt
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ajax
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 2.14
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
345 Passes 593
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 36
1 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2024 Ajax Ajax 2-2 HT 0-1 Bodo / Glimt Bodo / Glimt AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodo / Glimt
1-2
AWAY Ajax
3.58 xG 1.86
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
790 Passes 425
92% Pass Accuracy 86%
71 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bodo / Glimt vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax edged past Bodo / Glimt 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Ajax made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Bodo / Glimt had 64% of the ball to Ajax's 36%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 3.58 to 1.86 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bodo / Glimt.

What was the final score of Bodo / Glimt vs Ajax?

Bodo / Glimt 1-2 Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo / Glimt vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo / Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bodo / Glimt 40%, draw 26%, Ajax 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodo / Glimt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo / Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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