Ajax 2-2 Bodo / Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 15 Feb 2024

Ajax
2-2 HT 0-1
Bodo / Glimt
📅15/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2025/2026

Ajax vs Bodo / Glimt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.59
2-3 Goals
38%
2.12
4-5 Goals
27%
2.47
6+ Goals
12%
5.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.75
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
22%
3.99
X/2
9%
12.45
X/X
9%
7.55
2/1
10%
18.4
2/2
10%
8.05
2/X
6%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.3pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax v Bodo / Glimt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo / Glimt EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -39%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
476 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
– Crosses 9.4
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Ajax 2-2 Bodo / Glimt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax
2-2
AWAY Bodo / Glimt
2.14 xG 0.56
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
593 Passes 345
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax vs Bodo / Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax and Bodo / Glimt shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ajax had 62% of the ball to Bodo / Glimt's 38%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 2.14 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Ajax vs Bodo / Glimt?

Ajax 2-2 Bodo / Glimt in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax vs Bodo / Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ajax 51%, draw 23%, Bodo / Glimt 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajax), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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