Ludogorets Razgrad 0-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.07
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
20%
4.62
X/2
13%
6.59
X/X
15%
4.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
28.5
2/2
9%
5.08
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 6% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 32%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Servette
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.32 xG 1.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
287 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2024 Servette Servette 0-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
0-1
AWAY Servette
1.37 xG 0.79
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
458 Passes 226
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette nicked a narrow win over Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ludogorets Razgrad at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 64% of the ball to Servette's 36%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.37 to 0.79 — on chances, Ludogorets Razgrad could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Servette?

Ludogorets Razgrad 0-1 Servette in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 46%, draw 28%, Servette 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
22 Feb 2024
20:45 Dinamo Zagreb vs Real Betis Analysis →
20:45 Bodo / Glimt vs Ajax Analysis →
23:00 Ferencvaros vs Olympiakos Analysis →
23:00 Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Saint-Gilloise Analysis →
23:00 Slovan Bratislava vs Sturm Graz Analysis →
23:00 Legia Varşova vs Molde Analysis →