Pafos vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pafos v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals
Pafos 1-0 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics
Pafos squeezed past Djurgarden 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Pafos as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Pafos had 66% of the ball to Djurgarden's 34%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.59 to 1.14.
What was the final score of Pafos vs Djurgarden?
Pafos 1-0 Djurgarden in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pafos vs Djurgarden?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pafos win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pafos 52%, draw 25%, Djurgarden 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pafos), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.