Charlton Athletic 2-1 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

Charlton Athletic
2-1 HT 2-1
Barnsley
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Charlton Athletic vs Barnsley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 27% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.78
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
10%
12.2
X/1
9%
6.1
X/2
13%
5.63
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
21%
3.38
2/X
5%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.4pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Charlton Athletic v Barnsley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.22/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.25
-2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 72%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.1 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Charlton Athletic vs Barnsley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barnsley
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
259 Passes 275
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 1-1 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
14.01.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
24.09.2022 Barnsley Barnsley 3-1 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
01.02.2020 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 2-0 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
17.08.2019 Barnsley Barnsley 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
29.12.2018 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 2-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1

Charlton Athletic 2-1 Barnsley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
2-1
AWAY Barnsley
2.19 xG 2.82
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
195 Passes 337
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic nicked a narrow win over Barnsley 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barnsley at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 40% of the ball to Barnsley's 60%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.19 to 2.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Barnsley.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.50 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Barnsley?

Charlton Athletic 2-1 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 33%, draw 26%, Barnsley 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barnsley) ✗ Under 2.5
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