Köln 2-1 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 6 Apr 2024

Köln
2-1 HT 0-0
Bochum
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.12
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
19%
5.04
X/2
13%
6.38
X/X
13%
4.82
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.34
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.35/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.63
-38% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
26.7 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bochum
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.53 xG 1.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
353 Passes 236
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 20
33 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Bochum Bochum 1-1 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL1
10.03.2023 Köln Köln 0-2 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
18.09.2022 Bochum Bochum 1-1 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL1
22.01.2022 Bochum Bochum 2-2 HT 1-2 Köln Köln AL1
28.08.2021 Köln Köln 2-1 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
21.12.2018 Köln Köln 2-3 HT 1-1 Bochum Bochum AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
2-1
AWAY Bochum
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
244 Passes 173
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
POST-MATCH Köln vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln squeezed past Bochum 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Köln made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Köln had 56% of the ball to Bochum's 44%, shots finished 20-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Köln and 1.67 for Bochum.

What was the final score of Köln vs Bochum?

Köln 2-1 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Köln 39%, draw 27%, Bochum 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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