Grasshoppers 3-1 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 30% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.82
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
14%
6.05
X/2
7%
5.94
X/X
10%
4.85
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
23%
3.7
2/X
9%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.28/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.35
+17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
19.2 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Luzern
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.95
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
288 Passes 325
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
27.07.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-2 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
10.05.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
24.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
05.11.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
27.08.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
3-1
AWAY Luzern
1.37 xG 1.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
238 Passes 354
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers saw off Luzern 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Grasshoppers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 42% of the ball to Luzern's 58%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.37 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.50 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Luzern?

Grasshoppers 3-1 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 36%, draw 28%, Luzern 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İSV More Switzerland - Super League
6 Apr 2025
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