Catania 1-2 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.7
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.90/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.00
-18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Avellino
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Avellino Avellino 2-2 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTC
25.05.2024 Avellino Avellino 2-1 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTC
21.05.2024 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
06.03.2024 Avellino Avellino 5-2 HT 3-0 Catania Catania İTC
29.10.2023 Catania Catania 0-2 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
23.03.2022 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-2
AWAY Avellino
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Catania vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino nicked a narrow win over Catania 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Avellino found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catania had 52% of the ball to Avellino's 48%, shots finished 5-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Catania and 1.83 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Catania vs Avellino?

Catania 1-2 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Catania 34%, draw 29%, Avellino 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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