Alianza 1-0 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 6 Apr 2025

Alianza
1-0 HT 1-0
FAS
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.6pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.7pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+8.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-8.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.70/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.51
+26% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FAS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
09.02.2025 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
17.11.2024 FAS FAS 4-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
15.09.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
22.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
19.05.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
02.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza nicked a narrow win over FAS 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza and 1.17 for FAS.

What was the final score of Alianza vs FAS?

Alianza 1-0 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alianza 44%, draw 34%, FAS 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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