FAS 1-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 9 Feb 2025

FAS
1-1 HT 0-1
Alianza
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.52
Over 2.5
51%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
62%
-13.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
38%
+13.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.58/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.08
+49% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alianza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.11.2024 FAS FAS 4-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
15.09.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
22.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
19.05.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
02.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
07.03.2024 FAS FAS 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS and Alianza couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FAS and 1.00 for Alianza.

What was the final score of FAS vs Alianza?

FAS 1-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FAS 38%, draw 26%, Alianza 36%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Over 2.5
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