FC Goa 2-1 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-11.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.63/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.25
+24% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.6 Crosses 18.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bengaluru
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.00 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
312 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 Bengaluru Bengaluru 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
14.12.2024 Bengaluru Bengaluru 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
02.11.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 3-0 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
14.03.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
17.01.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HINSK
25.10.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
2-1
AWAY Bengaluru
1.68 xG 0.76
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
304 Passes 170
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
36 Box Touches 14
37 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa edged past Bengaluru 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; FC Goa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Goa had 63% of the ball to Bengaluru's 37%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.68 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Goa and 0.83 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Bengaluru?

FC Goa 2-1 Bengaluru in the India - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 39%, draw 28%, Bengaluru 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ Over 2.5
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