Kashima Antlers 3-4 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 32% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.04
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
18%
5.14
X/2
9%
7.07
X/X
14%
4.6
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
15%
5.01
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.26/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.64
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.6 Crosses 17.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.12 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
286 Passes 199
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
13.04.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
01.07.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
18.02.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-2 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
10.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
18.06.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
3-4
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.19 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
284 Passes 213
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga squeezed past Kashima Antlers 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Kyoto Sanga made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 56% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 44%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.19 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.17 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Kyoto Sanga?

Kashima Antlers 3-4 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 39%, draw 30%, Kyoto Sanga 31%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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