MOL Fehervar 0-2 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 34% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.55/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.01
+19% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.4 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.72 xG 1.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
435 Passes 289
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
18.08.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
21.04.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
03.02.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 2-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
24.09.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-3 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
20.05.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
0-2
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
0.47 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
364 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE got the better of MOL Fehervar 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Zalaegerszegi TE made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 56% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 44%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.47 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MOL Fehervar and 1.33 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

MOL Fehervar 0-2 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 37%, draw 31%, Zalaegerszegi TE 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (MOL Fehervar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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