Puskas FC 1-1 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.90/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.47
-2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.8 Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.80 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
329 Passes 369
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.08.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
11.05.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-3 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.02.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 6-1 HT 3-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
22.10.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-5 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.05.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
1-1
AWAY MTK Budapest
0.64 xG 0.77
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
349 Passes 494
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC and MTK Budapest shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Puskas FC at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Puskas FC had 42% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 58%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.64 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Puskas FC and 0.33 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest?

Puskas FC 1-1 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 51%, draw 23%, MTK Budapest 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puskas FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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