Odense 1-0 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.36
2-3 Goals
34%
1.98
4-5 Goals
30%
2.56
6+ Goals
17%
5.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.0
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.42
X/2
11%
10.15
X/X
7%
6.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
18.7
2/2
9%
7.0
2/X
5%
15.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.7 — our 12% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-0.8pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.3pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.86/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.38
-13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.0 Crosses 12.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Fredericia
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.96 xG 0.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
458 Passes 375
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2025 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-3 HT 1-2 Odense Odense DAN
19.09.2025 Odense Odense 3-2 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN
03.05.2025 Odense Odense 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
05.04.2025 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-0 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN1
03.11.2024 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-4 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN1
21.08.2024 Odense Odense 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
1-0
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.56 xG 1.02
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
566 Passes 251
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Odense vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense edged past FC Fredericia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Odense as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Odense had 66% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 34%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.56 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Odense and 1.00 for FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of Odense vs FC Fredericia?

Odense 1-0 FC Fredericia in the Denmark - Süperlig on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Odense 57%, draw 17%, FC Fredericia 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Odense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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