Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
17%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.4pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.43/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.71
-46% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +67%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.04.2026 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
07.12.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
27.09.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-3 HT 0-2 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
03.05.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
01.03.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
28.09.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar edged past Velez Mostar 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Zrinjski Mostar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 0.33 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar?

Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 40%, draw 31%, Velez Mostar 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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