Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.91/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.68
+14% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-3 HT 0-2 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
03.05.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
01.03.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
28.09.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
13.04.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
13.11.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-0 HT 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
1-1
AWAY Velez Mostar
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar and Velez Mostar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zrinjski Mostar at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 46% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 54%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 0.67 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar?

Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 53%, draw 28%, Velez Mostar 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
7 Dec 2025
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