Slavia Sofia 2-1 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 56%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-81% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2026 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-2 HT 1-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
01.11.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
06.05.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 3-1 HT 2-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
01.04.2025 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-3 HT 1-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
14.09.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 3-2 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
28.04.2023 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
2-1
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
7 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia squeezed past Septemvri Sofia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Septemvri Sofia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 45% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 55%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Septemvri Sofia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slavia Sofia and 2.00 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Slavia Sofia 2-1 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 30%, draw 24%, Septemvri Sofia 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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