Naesby 2-3 VSK Arhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 6 Jun 2025

📅06/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.4pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 39%
+14% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.81/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.43
+13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
4W-0D-2L
AWAY VSK Arhus
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
14.05.2025 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 4-0 HT 2-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
19.10.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 1-2 Naesby Naesby DAN3
07.09.2024 Naesby Naesby 4-1 HT 2-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
09.06.2024 Naesby Naesby 3-1 HT 2-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
20.04.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-3 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
21.10.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-4 HT 1-2 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
2-3
AWAY VSK Arhus
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Naesby vs VSK Arhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VSK Arhus squeezed past Naesby 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; VSK Arhus found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Naesby had 62% of the ball to VSK Arhus's 38%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Naesby and 1.83 for VSK Arhus.

What was the final score of Naesby vs VSK Arhus?

Naesby 2-3 VSK Arhus in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 06/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs VSK Arhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naesby 39%, draw 28%, VSK Arhus 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naesby), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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