Libertad 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.93/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.02
+11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 71%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
01.03.2025 Libertad Libertad 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
14.11.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PARK
10.11.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
29.08.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
15.04.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
0-1
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno squeezed past Libertad 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Libertad had 61% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 39%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Libertad and 0.33 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Libertad 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Libertad 52%, draw 27%, Sportivo Luqueno 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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