Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
54%
Away Win
63%
-8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 67%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.95/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.78
+18% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -6%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
264 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Libertad
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Libertad Libertad 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
14.11.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PARK
10.11.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
29.08.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
15.04.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
25.01.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1-0
AWAY Libertad
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno nicked a narrow win over Libertad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 50% of the ball to Libertad's 50%, shots finished 4-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.83 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad?

Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 25%, draw 21%, Libertad 54%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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