Boca Juniors 1-0 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.47
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.6
X/1
15%
4.03
X/2
9%
8.91
X/X
15%
3.81
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
12%
8.23
2/X
5%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
1.55/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.28
+24% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.5 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
327 Passes 297
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2026 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-1 HT 2-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
02.11.2025 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-2 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
20.04.2025 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
27.08.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
01.05.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
13.04.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
1-0
AWAY Estudiantes
0.77 xG 0.37
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
530 Passes 306
28 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors squeezed past Estudiantes 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.77 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boca Juniors and 1.00 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes?

Boca Juniors 1-0 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 43%, draw 29%, Estudiantes 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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