Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Atletico v Cienciano — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Cienciano
PER
Alianza Atletico 1-0 Cienciano — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico squeezed past Cienciano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.26 to 0.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alianza Atletico's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.67 for Cienciano.
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano?
Alianza Atletico 1-0 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 46%, draw 23%, Cienciano 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.