UD Ibiza 2-1 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.13
No
45%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.9pp
45%
BTTS No
57%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.63/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.64
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Hercules
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2025 Hercules Hercules 3-2 HT 1-1 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
15.09.2024 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 1-1 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
21.02.2021 Hercules Hercules 1-0 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
29.11.2020 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 1-0 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
2-1
AWAY Hercules
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza edged past Hercules 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UD Ibiza as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 47% of the ball to Hercules's 53%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hercules led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UD Ibiza and 1.25 for Hercules.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Hercules?

UD Ibiza 2-1 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 53%, draw 26%, Hercules 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Ibiza), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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