AlbinoLeffe 2-3 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +23%
0.93/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.99
-25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Renate
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
28.09.2024 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
13.04.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
08.12.2023 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
04.10.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-2 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTCK
26.02.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-3 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
2-3
AWAY Renate
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate edged past AlbinoLeffe 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AlbinoLeffe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 61% of the ball to Renate's 39%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AlbinoLeffe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 0.83 for Renate.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Renate?

AlbinoLeffe 2-3 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 41%, draw 29%, Renate 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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