Alcione 1-0 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
4.56
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
0.54/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.26
-59% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-1 HT 0-1 Alcione İTC
26.10.2024 Alcione 1-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
1-0
AWAY Lumezzane
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione edged past Lumezzane 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alcione as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Alcione had 51% of the ball to Lumezzane's 49%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alcione had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alcione and 0.50 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Lumezzane?

Alcione 1-0 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcione win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alcione 47%, draw 27%, Lumezzane 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcione), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alcione) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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