Arezzo 1-0 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.51
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.50/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.43
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.05.2025 Arezzo Arezzo 0-1 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
06.01.2025 Arezzo Arezzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
02.09.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 3-0 HT 2-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
11.08.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-3 HT 1-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTCK
10.03.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 2-1 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
05.11.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
1-0
AWAY Vis Pesaro
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo nicked a narrow win over Vis Pesaro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arezzo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Arezzo had 57% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 43%, shots finished 24-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arezzo and 1.17 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Vis Pesaro?

Arezzo 1-0 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 55%, draw 29%, Vis Pesaro 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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