Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USL Championship, 6 Sep 2026

📅06/09/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterey Bay
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 Passes 336
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2026 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 3-2 HT 1-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
18.05.2025 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-0 HT 0-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
30.03.2025 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 3-1 HT 1-1 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
05.10.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-2 HT 0-2 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
17.03.2024 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 1-0 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
30.07.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-2 HT 0-2 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
PREVIEW Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

This is one of the day's tightest calls on our numbers — no outcome separates itself.

Both teams have scored in 4 of Monterey Bay's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Monterey Bay against 1.50 for Phoenix Rising.

Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Kick-off Time

Monterey Bay play Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 06/09/2026, kick-off 05:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising is an Phoenix Rising win at about 42% probability, priced 2.16 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Monterey Bay 31%, draw 27%, Phoenix Rising 42%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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