Caldiero Terme 0-3 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.52
Over
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.33
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
18%
5.19
6+
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 34%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -10%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.03
+150% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldiero Terme
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Virtus Verona
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
09.08.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 2-2 HT 1-1 Caldiero Terme İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
0-3
AWAY Virtus Verona
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona ran out comfortable winners over Caldiero Terme 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Virtus Verona found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 53% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 47%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs Virtus Verona?

Caldiero Terme 0-3 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldiero Terme win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 40%, draw 27%, Virtus Verona 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Caldiero Terme), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caldiero Terme) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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