Perugia vs Lucchese Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perugia v Lucchese — Team-Based Signals
Perugia vs Lucchese Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Perugia 4-0 Lucchese — Actual Match Statistics
Perugia cruised past Lucchese 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Perugia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Perugia had 42% of the ball to Lucchese's 58%, shots finished 16-13.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perugia and 0.00 for Lucchese.
What was the final score of Perugia vs Lucchese?
Perugia 4-0 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perugia vs Lucchese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Perugia 35%, draw 32%, Lucchese 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.