Torre Neapolis 0-3 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.59
Over
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.41
2-3
43%
1.78
4-5
18%
4.96
6+
6%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.12/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.95
+17% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torre Neapolis
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
26.11.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-1 HT 0-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
04.10.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTCK
04.03.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-1 HT 2-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
30.10.2022 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-1 HT 1-1 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torre Neapolis
0-3
AWAY Audace Cerignola
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Torre Neapolis vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola ran out comfortable winners over Torre Neapolis 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Torre Neapolis had 52% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 48%, shots finished 15-23.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Torre Neapolis had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Torre Neapolis and 0.80 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of Torre Neapolis vs Audace Cerignola?

Torre Neapolis 0-3 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torre Neapolis vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Torre Neapolis 30%, draw 28%, Audace Cerignola 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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