Audace Cerignola 0-0 Torre Neapolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.74
Over
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.86
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
24%
4.07
6+
8%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.51/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.52
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Torre Neapolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-1 HT 0-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
04.10.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTCK
04.03.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-1 HT 2-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
30.10.2022 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-1 HT 1-1 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
0-0
AWAY Torre Neapolis
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Torre Neapolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola and Torre Neapolis played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Audace Cerignola at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 59% of the ball to Torre Neapolis's 41%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torre Neapolis led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Audace Cerignola and 1.50 for Torre Neapolis.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Torre Neapolis?

Audace Cerignola 0-0 Torre Neapolis in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Torre Neapolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 43%, draw 27%, Torre Neapolis 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Audace Cerignola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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