Lobos UPNFM 1-2 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 6 Oct 2025

📅06/10/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
58%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
21%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
58%
Away Win
54%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 58%
+11% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.14/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.87
+26% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
236 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-0D-5L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
27.07.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
06.03.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
19.01.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
10.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
14.09.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
25.04.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia edged past Lobos UPNFM 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.67 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia?

Lobos UPNFM 1-2 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 16%, draw 25%, CD Olimpia 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
6 Oct 2025
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