Club Brugge 1-0 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.54
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 29% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.29
1/2
11%
24.0
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
10%
7.33
X/2
12%
4.53
X/X
10%
4.85
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.69
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 50%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-80% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
315 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 85%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
1-0
AWAY Aston Villa
1.38 xG 0.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
356 Passes 491
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge nicked a narrow win over Aston Villa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Club Brugge had 44% of the ball to Aston Villa's 56%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.38 to 0.40.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Aston Villa?

Club Brugge 1-0 Aston Villa in the Champions League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 26%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aston Villa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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