Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
15%
4.19
X/2
9%
9.05
X/X
10%
5.37
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
9%
6.56
2/X
6%
14.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.47/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.48
-22% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
12.3 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Young Boys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.08.2016 Young Boys Young Boys 2-0 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk ŞMP
26.07.2016 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1
AWAY Young Boys
1.96 xG 0.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
344 Passes 375
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
42 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk edged past Young Boys 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Shakhtar Donetsk had 49% of the ball to Young Boys's 51%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.96 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.00 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Young Boys?

Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Young Boys in the Champions League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 50%, draw 24%, Young Boys 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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