Kızılyıldız 2-5 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
7.18
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
51%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.01
2-3 Goals
36%
2.19
4-5 Goals
29%
2.46
6+ Goals
14%
4.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
14.3
1/2
6%
19.7
1/X
8%
22.3
X/1
12%
21.2
X/2
14%
3.64
X/X
6%
9.86
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
31%
1.43
2/X
8%
23.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
11%
+16.0pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.6pp
51%
Away Win
73%
-22.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 78%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -20%
1.01/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.47
+53% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -41%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 86%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
13.4 Crosses 21.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
2-5
AWAY Barcelona
0.20 xG 3.63
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
209 Passes 601
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona ran out comfortable winners over Kızılyıldız 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 30% of the ball to Barcelona's 70%, shots finished 4-21, expected goals 0.20 to 3.63.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Barcelona?

Kızılyıldız 2-5 Barcelona in the Champions League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 27%, draw 22%, Barcelona 51%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5
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