Feyenoord 1-3 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 6 Nov 2024

Feyenoord
1-3 HT 0-1
Salzburg
📅06/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Feyenoord vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
15%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.83
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.3
X/1
12%
3.84
X/2
10%
12.25
X/X
9%
6.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.55
2/2
12%
8.92
2/X
7%
16.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.55 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-11.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+10.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Feyenoord v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 21%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.87/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.63
+18% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
11.0 Crosses 11.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Feyenoord vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Salzburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.57 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
320 Passes 214
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 11
8 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.07.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HAZ
12.07.2019 Salzburg Salzburg 3-1 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HAZ

Feyenoord 1-3 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
1-3
AWAY Salzburg
0.77 xG 1.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
460 Passes 314
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg got the better of Feyenoord 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Feyenoord at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Feyenoord had 58% of the ball to Salzburg's 42%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.77 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Feyenoord and 2.00 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Salzburg?

Feyenoord 1-3 Salzburg in the Champions League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 50%, draw 22%, Salzburg 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Feyenoord) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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