Inter 1-0 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.79
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
17%
5.54
X/2
14%
5.75
X/X
17%
4.01
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
15%
3.99
2/X
5%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
1.49/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.34
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
18.5 Crosses 11.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
1-0
AWAY Arsenal
1.16 xG 1.80
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 13
243 Passes 437
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 42
5 Crosses 46
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter edged past Arsenal 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Inter made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Inter had 37% of the ball to Arsenal's 63%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 1.16 to 1.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Arsenal.

What was the final score of Inter vs Arsenal?

Inter 1-0 Arsenal in the Champions League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Arsenal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Inter 39%, draw 27%, Arsenal 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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