Basel 3-1 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Nov 2025

Basel
3-1 HT 1-0
FCSB
📅06/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.17
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
21%
4.42
X/2
7%
9.51
X/X
8%
5.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.9
2/2
9%
7.01
2/X
9%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +36%
1.44/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.03
-4% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +77%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
15.5 Crosses 9.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 5.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
0W-2D-0L
AWAY FCSB
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
06.11.2013 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ŞMP
22.10.2013 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-0 Basel Basel ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
3-1
AWAY FCSB
4.03 xG 1.16
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
456 Passes 207
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
43 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Basel vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel beat FCSB 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Basel had 67% of the ball to FCSB's 33%, shots finished 24-14, expected goals 4.03 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Basel and 1.00 for FCSB.

What was the final score of Basel vs FCSB?

Basel 3-1 FCSB in the UEFA Europa League on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Basel 55%, draw 23%, FCSB 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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