Sturm Graz 0-0 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.36
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
7.32
1/2
6%
23.1
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
11%
9.25
X/2
17%
4.28
X/X
12%
5.14
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
35.0
2/2
31%
2.25
2/X
5%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
54%
Away Win
54%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.5 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
0-0
AWAY Nottingham Forest
0.09 xG 1.70
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
303 Passes 455
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Box Touches 23
2 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz and Nottingham Forest fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Nottingham Forest at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 42% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 58%, shots finished 3-9, expected goals 0.09 to 1.70.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest?

Sturm Graz 0-0 Nottingham Forest in the UEFA Europa League on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 23%, draw 23%, Nottingham Forest 54%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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