Kızılyıldız 1-0 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
4.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 32% vs market 18.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.83
1/2
9%
24.85
1/X
4%
12.3
X/1
11%
6.2
X/2
14%
5.82
X/X
15%
5.16
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
12%
3.47
2/X
8%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 42%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.08/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.30
-16% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.6 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
1-0
AWAY Lille
1.71 xG 1.58
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
265 Passes 473
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız edged past Lille 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Kızılyıldız made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 40% of the ball to Lille's 60%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.71 to 1.58.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Lille?

Kızılyıldız 1-0 Lille in the UEFA Europa League on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 38%, draw 27%, Lille 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Under 2.5
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