Malmö FF 0-1 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.54
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
8%
6.4
X/2
14%
5.17
X/X
11%
4.52
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
25%
3.27
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 45%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.99/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.48
-13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
16.9 Crosses 10.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
0-1
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.42 xG 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
497 Passes 358
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos nicked a narrow win over Malmö FF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Malmö FF had 57% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 43%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.42 to 1.40.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Panathinaikos?

Malmö FF 0-1 Panathinaikos in the UEFA Europa League on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 30%, draw 24%, Panathinaikos 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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