Midtjylland 3-1 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.68
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
19%
4.96
X/2
10%
7.52
X/X
8%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.8
2/2
11%
5.09
2/X
6%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
47%
+6.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.85/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.69
-13% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.9 Crosses 11.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Celtic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 508
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic ŞMP
20.07.2021 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
3-1
AWAY Celtic
2.73 xG 1.01
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
355 Passes 207
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
50 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland beat Celtic 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Midtjylland had 60% of the ball to Celtic's 40%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 2.73 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Midtjylland and 1.00 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Celtic?

Midtjylland 3-1 Celtic in the UEFA Europa League on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 53%, draw 20%, Celtic 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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