Nice 1-3 Freiburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Nov 2025

Nice
1-3 HT 1-3
Freiburg
📅06/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2025/2026

Nice vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.61
6+ Goals
12%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.93
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
11%
5.87
X/2
16%
5.71
X/X
12%
4.4
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
16%
3.77
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.12/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.57
-22% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.7 Crosses 12.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Nice 1-3 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
1-3
AWAY Freiburg
1.79 xG 2.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
415 Passes 255
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nice vs Freiburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg got the better of Nice 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Freiburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nice had 60% of the ball to Freiburg's 40%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.79 to 2.13.

What was the final score of Nice vs Freiburg?

Nice 1-3 Freiburg in the UEFA Europa League on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Freiburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nice 35%, draw 25%, Freiburg 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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