Al Ahly 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Super Cup, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.04
6+ Goals
10%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 32% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.83/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.89
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +48%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
19.0 Crosses 6.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.47 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
299 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2025 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
13.05.2025 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
02.11.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 5-2 HT 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
20.10.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRSK
29.07.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-1 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
25.12.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
2-1
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.18 xG 0.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
339 Passes 365
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly squeezed past Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahly had 48% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 52%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.18 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Ahly and 0.67 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Al Ahly 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Super Cup on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 53%, draw 26%, Ceramica Cleopatra 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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