Paksi SE 3-1 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 6 Dec 2025

Paksi SE
3 - 1 HT 1 - 0
MTK Budapest
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Hungary - NB I – 2025/2026

Paksi SE vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.95
Away
21%
3.78
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
2.53
Over Pick
70%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
13%
5.7
2-3
42%
2.03
4-5
33%
2.5
6+
12%
5.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Paksi SE v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Paksi SE The Market 58%
Signal
AWAY MTK Budapest The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.57 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.85
Great Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
35 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
35 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3

Paksi SE vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
4W-1D-1L
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.81 xG 2.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
284 Passes 390
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.08.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-3 HT 0-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.04.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
07.12.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 4-2 HT 1-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
03.12.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
03.03.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-2 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
05.11.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC

Paksi SE 3-1 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
3 - 1
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.26 xG 0.97
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
233 Passes 280
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 19
41 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 7
REVIEW Paksi SE vs MTK Budapest
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Paksi SE saw off MTK Budapest 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%) came home.

Under the surface, MTK Budapest saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.26 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Paksi SE against 1.33 for MTK Budapest.

Paksi SE vs MTK Budapest Result & Final Score

Paksi SE 3 - 1 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Paksi SE vs MTK Budapest Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 58%, draw 21%, MTK Budapest 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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