Sestri Levante 0-2 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Jan 2024

Sestri Levante
0-2 HT 0-0
Pontedera
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Sestri Levante vs Pontedera Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.79
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sestri Levante v Pontedera — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.01/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.74
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
238 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Sestri Levante vs Pontedera Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestri Levante
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pontedera
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 2-0 HT 1-0 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera beat Sestri Levante 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Pontedera made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Pontedera?

Sestri Levante 0-2 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 32%, draw 28%, Pontedera 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontedera), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontedera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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